Q4 2024

Canadian cap rate and investment trends

Avison Young’s quarterly investment and cap rate trends report. We pledge to deliver comprehensive market insights to navigate in this period of limited transaction activity and uncertain market conditions.

What's happening with cap rates?

Where are cap rates trending? These questions echo consistently in discussions throughout the commercial real estate industry, gaining heightened importance during periods of market uncertainty. It's a query on everyone's mind, as individuals seek insights into the prevailing investment trends. However, answering this question isn't always straightforward, particularly amid a scarcity of recent investment trades. Professional valuations take on increased importance, and so does investor sentiment.

Trends to look out for in 2025:

  • Multi-residential: an easing rental market, capital recycling and the evolving role of private investors
  • Industrial: Canada-US trade tensions, activity of owner-occupiers and institutional buyers
  • Office: more concessions and lease flexibility, cyclical leasing by sector and regional differences
  • Retail: stagnant retail spending, demand for grocery-anchored strips and shrinking per capita retail square footage in cities

“2025 will begin where 2024 left off, continuing incremental recovery across the industry, setting the markets up for a longer-term bull run going into the last half of the year.”

- Mark Fieder, Principal and President, Canada

Our dedicated teams have placed a strong emphasis on not only presenting cap rate data but also enriching readers with a deeper understanding of what’s happening behind the figures presented within the report. Our ongoing analysis will focus on the driving factors behind cap rates in multi-residential, industrial, office, and retail investment properties across Canada.

We look forward to providing you with the wealth of market intelligence gathered from Avison Young’s experts, accompanied by their insightful commentary on a quarterly basis.

AACI, P.App
  • Principal, Managing Director & Canadian Leader
  • Valuation, Advisory & Property Tax Services

  • Principal, Director Market Intelligence, Canada
  • Research, Market Intelligence